10 best predictions for college football’s Big Saturday. Which games seem to be the best bets and picks for week 6 games?
Choice of experts
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Results so far: 36-24-1
We got rid of the bad week.
It had to happen, and I hope those of you who know how it rolls timed the fade right.
It all went weirdly 3-7, but now comes the rebound.
No messing around with anything funky. No points total – although under the Duke-Georgia Tech 55 could be a meatball in the middle of the plate. No gimmicks. Ten picks against the spread, ten wins…
Here is the problem from last week and going forward. It’s easier to find the discrepancies with 88 games and all the massive discrepancies fueled by too much guesswork in the market.
Now the games are more evenly matched in a kind of Any Given Saturday with conference play going on, there are only 55 picks, and…
Whinin’ is not winnin’. Let’s do this.
Here we are with the 10 best college football predictions against the spread featuring with…
Click on each game for preview
10. Texas A&M in Alabama
LINE Alabama -24.5
ATS CHOICE Texas A&M
I will never, ever blame you for taking Alabama home by giving away points, no matter how many.
I know it’s a rematch after losing last year, and I know the dispute between the coaches will count, and I’m aware that it’s entirely possible that Bama’s defense will go off and start a perfect match.
Is Bryce Young ready to go, and if so, what is the shape of his shoulder? In fact, I’m okay with the number even though he’s playing and he’s fine.
Alabama destroyed Utah State, the ULM and the Vanderbilt. Texas? Much too close. Arkansas? The fourth quarter was devastating, but it was risky after 45 minutes.
Alabama has yet to prove they can be amazing for four quarters against someone good. Of course it is possible, but I will take the risk that A&M also contributes something to this.
It’s the most talented defense Alabama has faced so far. A&M may have lost to Mississippi State 42-24 last week, but it gave up a pick six and a kick six along the way. This D should be able to stop the tide from kicking in.
Again, though, don’t fight if you see something completely different, and that goes for that too…
9. Auburn Georgia
LINE Georgia -29.5
ATS CHOICE Georgia
I know, I fooled you badly last week thinking Georgia would be Georgia again against mediocre Missouri. It didn’t go so well.
Georgia is back at home, it’s sort of Auburn’s first road game of the season, and then there’s the score.
Auburn doesn’t really do that.
If you’re struggling to score 17 points at home against Missouri and you’re only scoring 24 against San Jose State, what are you going to do against an over-excited Georgia team at 3:30 p.m. on a Saturday afternoon on CBS?
Why has Georgia struggled for the past two weeks? No turnaround in the first three games, five in the last two. Auburn won’t get the necessary takeout.
8. Oregon State at Stanford
LINE Oregon State -7
ATS CHOICE Stanford
Be careful, this is the last stop before the train hits all the favorites for the rest of the journey.
After a crazy start to the season and a crazy week 5, I buy into the idea that the favorites are about to settle down. I’m still going to bite the Cardinal.
Oregon State gets a lot of love for pushing USC to the brink, but we forget that they had to work a little to get through Boise State and come out alive against Fresno State. And then last week it all came crashing down in the loss to Utah.
Another theme this week that is beginning to show a trend: turnover. Oregon State has given up eight in the last two games with nothing to take away.
Stanford is back at home for the first time in weeks, but it’s a touchdown underdog after going 1-3 with the lone win against Colgate. Yeah, what about those other three games?
USC, Washington, Oregon.
The turnovers have been an issue, but the passing game has been solid, and this week, even with the loss of early rusher EJ Smith, the running offense will be fine.
Think about the Stanford win, by the way.
7. Washington at Arizona State
LINE Washington -13.5
ATS CHOICE Washington
At this point in the season, I like to have a few more variables to go with. Washington has only played one game on the road, and it wasn’t quite himself against UCLA.
Sure, the Bruins were brilliant in the 40-32 win, but the Huskies started to put it all together in the second half. It was too late, but it was a moment that showed they really could be this good and got caught in a tough road game against a strong undefeated side.
Arizona State has covered against USC, and the defense has been relatively good despite giving up nearly 34 points per game in the past four losses. However, Oklahoma State, Utah and USC all beat the Sun Devils by more than 14 points.
The Huskies should throw and throw some more on their way to an easy win.
6. Virginia Tech at Pitt
ATS CHOICE pitt
Pitt’s loss to Georgia Tech was odd.
The Panthers threw the ball well, but the defense had a rough day against the run, they couldn’t find anything to take home, and Georgia Tech forced three turnovers in the 26-21 victory.
Virginia Tech should be the cure for that.
The Hokies can’t score – you and a few friends could score more than ten against North Carolina – they can’t run the ball, and the defense offers nothing big with just two takeaways in the last four matches.
Pitt should rebound from last week with no problem.
NEXT: College Football Pick Against The No. 5 Spread: Nevada at Colorado State
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